Deciphering the spatiotemporal trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem services and their socio-ecological drivers in the plain river network area

Understanding changes in ecosystem services (ESs) and quantitatively identifying the drivers that influence these changes are essential for achieving sustainable ecosystem development. In this study, multiple data sources and techniques, including meteorological data, land use/cover data, soil data, the InVEST model, and ArcGIS, were used to analyze the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of carbon storage, habitat quality, soil retention, water yield, and crop product supply in Xinghua City from 2000 to 2015. Additionally, we explored the causes of these changes and the interrelationships among these ESs. The results showed that: (1) During the study period, carbon storage and habitat quality declined, water yield fluctuated and increased, and soil retention had small interannual variations. The supply capacity of crop products first increased rapidly and then stabilized. (2) ESs were influenced by multiple drivers, with altitude having the strongest explanatory power for habitat quality and soil retention, and food production having the strongest explanatory power for crop product supply. (3) Relationships between different ESs were variable and changed over time. This study could enrich the understanding of spatial and temporal changes and drivers of ESs in the plain river network area, which has important implications for future land use planning and sustainable development of ESs.